The Harper Conservatives hold a 10 point advantage over the Ignatieff Liberals looking at the three day tracking ending April 14. Overall, support for the NDP continues to incrementally improve over the past six nights. The improvement has largely been driven by an increase in NDP support in both Ontario and British Columbia.
Tory fortunes continue to slide in British Columbia although the Tories still enjoy a lead. The ballot numbers in BC stand at 38.7% for the Conservatives, 26.6% for the Liberals, 23.0% for the NDP and 11.0% for the Green Party of Canada.
Battleground Ontario remains a tight race with the Conservatives at 39.7% and the Liberals at 39.0% followed by the NDP at 18.2% and the Greens a 3.1% while the Tories continue to have a commanding lead in the Prairies with 56.5% support.
In the wake of the French leaders' debate the BQ enjoy a comfortable lead while the three federalist parties are statistically tied.
More than one in two Canadians (53.6%) cited policy as their top vote driver.
Visit the Nanos website at 4pm daily to get the latest nightly tracking update on the top national issue of concern and the Nanos Leadership Index comprised of daily trust, vision and competence scores of the leaders.
The detailed tables and methodology are posted on our website where you can also register to receive automatic polling updates.
Methodology
A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.
National Ballot Question:
For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 13th (n=1,201; committed voters only n=1019). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1020 committed voters)
Conservative 38.7% (-0.2)
Liberal 28.8% (-2.3)
NDP 18.6% (+0.3)
Bloc Quebecois 9.0% (+1.5)
Green 3.7% (+0.6)
*Undecided 15.0% (-0.2)
Vote Driver Question: Which of the following factors are most important to you today in influencing your vote [Rotate]? (n=1,200)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 13th (n=1,200).
Traditionally Vote for Party 7.9% (+0.9)
Party Leader 23.4% (+0.3)
Party Policies 53.6% (-0.9)
Local Candidate 11.6% (-0.9)
Unsure 3.5% (+0.6)
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LET's GO COMSERVATIVES!!!!!!
ReplyDeletePLEASE LET US GET A MAJORITY FOR THE CONSERVATIVES SO THIS COUNTRY CAN GO FORWARD AS IT SHOULD.
This election should never have been called but the Liberals and ndp could care less about our country. Look at what happened to ONTARIO under the ndp and British Columbia has and never will be the same. Don't Canadians know that ndp is ONE STEP from communism??????