Latest polling numbers from Nanos

 
Nik on the Numbers

Ballot support for the parties continues to remain steady with the Conservatives having a nine point advantage over the Liberals in the latest CTV News/Globe/Nanos tracking completed on April 6th, 2011. Conservative support stands at 39.6%, followed by the Liberals at 30.4%, the NDP at 17.2%, the BQ at 8.3%, and the Green Party at 3.2% nationally.

In terms of the regional races, the Tories continue to lead in the Prairies and BC however their substantial advantage in BC last week has diminished with a narrowed gap between the Liberals and the New Democrats in that province. In the province of Quebec the three federalist parties are statistically tied and trail the BQ which has 35.8% of support in Quebec.

Party policy as a vote driver has increased to 53.4% from 50.2% and is followed by party leader at 20.7%.
Visit the Nanos website at 4pm daily to get the latest nightly tracking update on the top national issue of concern and the Nanos Leadership Index comprised of daily trust, vision and competence scores of the leaders.

The detailed tables and methodology are posted on our website where you can also register to receive automatic polling updates.

Methodology

A national random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20.

National Ballot Question:

For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 5th (n=1,202; committed voters only n=981).
Canada (n=989 committed voters)
Conservative 39.6% (-0.1)
Liberal 30.4% (+0.5)
NDP 17.2% (-0.2)
Bloc Quebecois 8.3% (NC)
Green 3.2% (-0.6)
Undecided 17.7% (-0.6)

Vote Driver Question:

Which of the following factors are most important to you today in influencing your vote [Rotate]? (n=1,202)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 5th (n=1,202).
Traditionally Vote for Party 8.5% (-0.1)
Party Leader 20.7% (-0.3)
Party Policies 53.4% (+3.2)
Local Candidate 13.4% (-3.0)
Unsure 4.0% (+0.2)

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Until next time!